Let’s talk about the tropics…

8-8-25. 6pm This update is brought to you by Davy Ranch Supply. A great week to do some work outside! We have an extensive supply of fencing materials including barbed and netting wire, t-posts, cedar and treated posts, brace and twist pipe, staples, clips, and welded panels. We also stock 7 different types of medium and heavy-duty gates ranging in length from 4 ft-20 ft. We sell galvanized portable panels and 24 ft free-standing pipe panels, too. We have concrete and poly water troughs in various sizes along with a selection bunk and hay feeders. www.davyranchsupply.com

With only a tiny chance for rain on Monday-Wednesday of next week, let’s look at the latest info from the NHC that was discussed yesterday in their update:

“Prediction remains on track for above-normal Atlantic hurricane season.

Forecasters from NOAA’s National Weather Service updated the number of expected named storms to 13-18 (with winds of 39 mph or greater), of which 5-9 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or greater), including 2-5 major hurricanes (winds of 111 mph or greater).

The adjusted ranges are for the entire season from June 1 though November 30, and are inclusive of the four named tropical storms that have already formed. In the Atlantic basin, a typical hurricane season will yield 14 named storms, of which seven become hurricanes and three become major hurricanes.

The likelihood of above-normal activity is 50%, a 35% chance of a near-normal season, and a 15% chance of a below-normal season. This updated prediction is similar to the initial outlook issued in May.”

As of today, there is absolutely no threat of any tropical storms for at least 7-10 days. Texas normally sees its best odds for hurricanes in August through mid September. As we move further into September, odds go down as early season cool fronts force storms to track to our east, so we need to see something fairly soon or we could be left out of what forecasters are calling a busy upcoming two months. As always, I’m not rooting for a destructive hurricane, just a depression or minor tropical storm that can finally put an end to this never-ending drought for the western counties.

Mark